I think a good indicator will be the prices from some of the major sellers, like Year One, Summit, Jegs, etc. If they have to start dropping prices to get sales, then I would say they are feeling the pinch, but if their prices remain the same or go up a bit then I would say they are doing fine. This would be a good time for some of the vendor members to chime in. I have a couple friends here in town (Dallas) that each have their own shops, and they are both booked for up to a year in advance, still, and have been turning away work.