Author Topic: 71 Cuda value Back on track....  (Read 26245 times)

Offline DocMel

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71 Cuda value Back on track....
« on: December 02, 2014 - 10:46:48 AM »
Whether 71 Cuda or Challenger:  Lets talk recent worth again....................I've been to three TV based classic car auctions over the past two years.  I went because you will see a group of cars in one place that would take 10 years of going to car shows , and I like to see exactly what condition these cars are really in.  Plus the auctions happened to be close to where I was at the time......

Im a private restorer.  Ill get a project, (sometimes more than one at a time),  restore it/them, drive it, then sell it and get another project.  Not a business, truly for pleasure and I actually like restoring more than driving at times. I stick with late 60's, early 70's, GM, Mopar, it doesnt matter.  HD's, 50-60,s as well.  Paint, interior, mechanics, I have done it all, and ost folks say my work had been pretty good

My point is when you sell these cars, like I have/private owner, I went with basically just a local newspaper, along with an add in some of the national based cheaper classic car for sale mags you see up on magazine racks and internet sites:  And not once have I actually recouped what I have  put into any car that I have sold. And I'm just talking parts/resto supplies here.  Forget about the sometimes hundreds of hours labor I have put into any one project   

None of these projects have been quick turnarounds, like getting a car for 3K, fixing the basic eye candy, then turning it over for 10K

Ok, back to the subject:  The big TV auctions I went to were allot of fun.  And interesting in the fact that many of the cars were actually fairly rough, and not the perfect car as seen under the studio lights.  Let me explain...........

By rough, I mean by relative comparison of what you might expect at such an event.  I saw allot of repaints, with poor chrome:  Pitted, glazed bumpers, pitted emblems, faded and glazed over window trim/headlight bezels, instrument gauge face covers.   Some of the cars that passed by on their way to line up had only one brake light working.   Interiors on allot of the cars: it was apparent the front seat covers had been replaced, with the original rear or older rear seat covers still in place, and sometime new front carpet, old rear

Now I am not knocking these type of cars.  But they are apparent "dust off, do the minimum, "get it sold now cars"  And who knows how much work down deep do they really need.  But they sell, and the beer/mixed drinks that flows in the aisles, the "magic"of the atmosphere, the TV hype, along with all of the resto shows over the last 15 years, make the prices sky high bat most times:   Think, "Casino Mentality"  And the "County Fair" type barkers/saleman in the aisles, and the fast talker up on stage, really fuels the bidding fires:   They are genuises at the craft

Then the other end of the spectrum:  The high end, full blown, by nut and bolt restos:  But these cars are the exception. Not many of these cars are around anymore, and even those do not get the prices they did 10 years ago, (with few exceptions)

Have you noticed, there are VERY few 71 Cudas anymore at these auctions, ebay or on the net:   Myself, I believe any left available have just about been all sold off, whether original, survivor, resto mod or junk.   And thats likely the key to price if sold:  Rarity of AVAILABILITY, and how bad a person wants one.  So either people are holding on to them as a future investment to sell, or some folks just want to keep it. 

Regardless, I believe the market has bottomed out and will not improve on classic cars, unless you have that pure survivor, or an especially rare exotic or optioned car.  And even these types will be kept within exclusive groups of buyers, if not a group of investment buyers.

Here is an example.  A 69 charger, with all body work done and painted, with a hopped up non matching  440,  aftermarket K member, tranny, etc, all looking good and professionally done.  But interior need to be replaced, etc , etc.  Still ALLOT of work needs to be done. The owner wants $85,000   Frankly, it aint gonna happen.  The owner wants to recoup all of his parts costs, as well as his labor.  Just like the Grave Yard car show, but w/o the reputation and TV hype

Look at that show in Miami, the bald headed guy with the blonde wife that turns around cars.  Look CLOSELY at what he sells.  They are ROUGH.  But he buys them cheap, buts in minimal effort, then marks them up 100%.  Thats his biz, and he is good at it, and he makes no qualms about it.

So..........The current worth of cars, to me, has been on a decline, and will stay that way, with few exception.  The people/private owner that wants every cent they out into into it, then wants to sell it at a huge price just to make a little profit, or at least break even, are pretty much over.  The glut of cars sold to impulse, or to turn over/buyer. sellers, I think has reached its peak.  Even the guys that has the rusted out heap in his back yard, thinks he can charge 10's of K's over what its is really worth:  Thanks the auction/resto craze.  But  believe those days of self conceived reality are pretty much over

Look at the HD craze back in mid-2000:  They sold like hotcakes to the impulse crowd.  Now you can get used HDs, with 5-6000 miles on them super cheap.  Yes, I know, not the same thing, but I believe you get the somewhat comparison

 I have 71 Cuda.  SUPER body, EVERYTHING HAS BEEN REPLACED. mostly with aftermarket/repro parts.  Shaker, 68 dated 440, TKO 500, FAST EFI, from the outside it looks original.   Originally a 225 and I have the build sheets: But my car will not sell for nearly for what I have put into so far, no way, even if I just sell for what parts I have put into it so far, (to include the car itself when I first got it).  Maybe 10 years ago, but not now, and I dont think so in the future

Also, I believe the resto craft is on the downslide.  By that, I mean the average 18 year old that wants a "older/cool car".  The days of the teenager/young adult, tinkering with an affordable, 60s-70,s muscle car are somewhat over.  I mean even wrenching on older iron you cant even do in a lot of housing areas nowadays

Which brings us to the new Challengers.   If you an get a Hellcat for the advertised 60K, you got a SMOKING deal. I believe you might get one for 60K, IF you trade in your fairly new, 2012 426 Hemi.  And even then you will get a trade in beating......The Hellcats will most likely go for 80K 

I think you will see pretty good deals on used 426/SRTs, from trade ins for the new Hell Cats

Back to us old Mopars:  Yeah, I know, a little depressing, buts thats where I see the worth of older cars going
   





Offline anlauto

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Re: 71 Cuda value Back on track....
« Reply #1 on: December 02, 2014 - 12:07:13 PM »
I completely disagree. Quality restorations of original numbers matching cars are still selling very well and prices are still on the rise.
I agree, clone cars or modified cars will never bring good money again.

I was just involved in a sale of a 1971 Cuda that needs a full restoration. It was bought for over $100K as is by a very experienced car collector. It will take another $60K for the restoration.

In the past 2-3 years I've sold a couple of high end original cars for real decent money.

The quality of restoration as well as originality and documentation play a huge roll in price. :2cents:
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Offline 72hemi

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Re: 71 Cuda value Back on track....
« Reply #2 on: December 02, 2014 - 01:19:08 PM »
I too completely disagree. I have yet to build a car that I lost money on, granted I also don't buy extras like overdrive transmissions, fuel injection systems, fancy stereos and custom wheels for cars I plan to sell.

Prices are once again on the rise for classic cars; especially high quality rare cars. I have some friends that collect high end cars and we are constantly having discussions on the market trends and pricing and we are seeing a trend in the upward direction currently.
1972 Dodge Challenger 340 6 Pack 4-speed
1996 Dodge Viper GTS Coupe

Offline bandt

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Re: 71 Cuda value Back on track....
« Reply #3 on: December 02, 2014 - 01:25:07 PM »
I tend to agree with Docmel,

Major collectors lately like Ron Pratt, and Tim Wellborn are selling off big portions or all of there collections. Makes you wonder what they know. Someone like Ron Pratt will never recover the premium prices he paid but at least they are still worth something.

Offline anlauto

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Re: 71 Cuda value Back on track....
« Reply #4 on: December 02, 2014 - 01:55:56 PM »
Guys like that are just bored with the cars they have.... :2cents:
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Offline DocMel

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Re: 71 Cuda value Back on track....
« Reply #5 on: December 02, 2014 - 02:35:52 PM »
That what I like.  Input...But in fact, in the auctions over the last few years, the average prices have went way down..............But in every case, there are cars that will command premium prices, such as said, documented, high-end restos.  And I would say thats the exception nowadays.   Overall, a majority of cars at these auctions are still selling, but at an average lower price than they were 7 or so years ago

Offline Pimtao

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Re: 71 Cuda value Back on track....
« Reply #6 on: December 02, 2014 - 02:50:31 PM »
That what I like.  Input...But in fact, in the auctions over the last few years, the average prices have went way down..............But in every case, there are cars that will command premium prices, such as said, documented, high-end restos.  And I would say thats the exception nowadays.   Overall, a majority of cars at these auctions are still selling, but at an average lower price than they were 7 or so years ago

Yeah but that is just the fluctuation of the market those days like any other market. That doesn't mean It cant go back up again! And like Alan said high end restos with the right documentation still sell for a good price and that usually results in bringing the price up again. When you look on websites like hagerty you can see an increase since 2010 obviously not as high as 06 or 07 but that doesn't meant it can't get up there again.

Offline HP_Cuda

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Re: 71 Cuda value Back on track....
« Reply #7 on: December 02, 2014 - 05:28:25 PM »

I have made several comments on the direction of mopar prices (& classic car prices in general) with not much fanfare.

I believe this is an indication of a couple of things. The economy is not as healthy as everyone thinks, remember classic car sales up to about 2008? The other area of concern is the population of folks that want to buy a classic car is shrinking with time. Folks get older and retire, they don't have the money they once had to take on a big project. Heck every new kid I talk to lately doesn't even want to bother getting a drivers license which I just don't understand.

This is not to say there will be valuable classic cars but they will be the exception and not the rule.
1970 Cuda Clone 440 4 speed - sublime green
1970 Cuda 383 4 speed - yellow - SOLD

Offline RzeroB

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Re: 71 Cuda value Back on track....
« Reply #8 on: December 02, 2014 - 05:36:53 PM »
All good points by everyone. The classic car hobby is a market that is influenced by the same forces as any other market. Most markets are cyclic and the car hobby is no exception. You got supply and demand which is limited and getting smaller as more and more of these 40+ year old cars return to the earth from which they came. The reproduction parts industry has helped cycle the number of available cars up by saving cars that would have previously been junked, but the number of cars still out there to save is finite and will eventually taper off towards zero. Then there is the classic car hobby's linked connection to the stock and real-estate market. In a bull-market people have more discretionary money to spend on classic cars and they can be viewed as a worthwile investment with an expected increase in value. Of course in a bear-market the opposite is true. Nobody has to look any further than 2009 and the crash of the real-estate market and its direct influence on classic car prices to see that. Of course there are always exceptions. Extremely well healed classic car "tycoons" like Wade Ogle and Tim Wellborn are in a league of their own apart from the typical classic car enthusiast and have the financial means to ride out what ever market cycles that may occur. It takes money to make money and the rich just get richer.

On the flip-side from the Ogles and the Wellborns are the little and young hobbyists. Cant really blame them for not jumping in because because our beloved classics cost as much (or more) as a brand new car that comes with a factory warranty, is way more reliable, and gets way better fuel economy. My kids all loved riding in my classic Mopars but none of them own one now - they all drive econ four bangers. At $3.25 a gallon a young person who is busting their butt to get ahead simply can't afford an expensive classic car that requires regular maintenance and gets awful fuel economy.
« Last Edit: December 02, 2014 - 05:40:56 PM by RzeroB »
Cheers!
Tom
St Louis, MO

Former owner of 16 classic Mopars. "It is better to have owned (Mopars) and lost then to have never owned at all" (apologies to Alfred Lord Tennyson)

Offline roadman5312

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Re: 71 Cuda value Back on track....
« Reply #9 on: December 02, 2014 - 05:39:01 PM »
As the baby boomers age, retire,  and pass, the value of certain year models declines. I remember when an Amos Minter car would sell for a millon, now the baby birds are in the 30K, 40K range. The 60's cars are slowly declining, 70's are still pretty good. As Alan said the big boys just get boored and move on. The average Joe just keeps trying to get a nice car at a good price.  :2cents:

Offline tommyg29

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Re: 71 Cuda value Back on track....
« Reply #10 on: December 02, 2014 - 09:13:44 PM »
As has always been the case, these cars typically have to be paid for with CASH, and when values of decent vintage cars approach the average annual salary, the market shrinks.
I bought a tribute car in 2009 pretty much right after the crash. I didnt buy it as an investment, but it has held its value and that alone is a good reason to own a tribute. It may not climb much in value, but it shouldnt drop in value like typical new cars do either.
Other than the occasional show, about the only contact I have with most people about my car is at the gas station once every month or two. It amazes me how many people ask how much I paid for it, or whats it worth. I always answer that with something like "probably a lot less than what youre driving". I guess they watch the TV auctions and car shows too, and assume all classic cars are big money.
I fully agree the classic car market has and will follow bull and bear real estate and stock markets, and it sounds logical that the 50s and 60s cars should be losing relative value because those guys are retiring, and the 70s cars will be next
72 Roadrunner 400-4 Auto-3.23 Gear-Black Cruiser
71 Cuda 440-6 Tribute-Limelight-A833 Close Ratio-4 Sp-Pistol Grip-Dana 3.54 Powr Lok-Rally Dash-Shaker (Sold)
92 Dodge Stealth RT-Twin 15g Turbos-SAFC2 Tuned-Mystic Blue-5 Sp-AWD-Rear Wheel Steering-AutoX'r (Sold)
12 Dodge Charger SXT Plus Blacktop Package-3.6L-8 Sp-Leather-Nav (the wife's)

Multiple SRT's, Rams, Dakotas, Caravans and Neons

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Offline djais1801

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Re: 71 Cuda value Back on track....
« Reply #11 on: December 02, 2014 - 09:42:04 PM »
so what does this mean: Dodge Shelby Z, IROC's, and Monte Carlo SS' are going to be the next blue chips for the 30 yr olds?

Offline moparman82

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Re: 71 Cuda value Back on track....
« Reply #12 on: December 02, 2014 - 10:00:51 PM »
so what does this mean: Dodge Shelby Z, IROC's, and Monte Carlo SS' are going to be the next blue chips for the 30 yr olds?

Not for this one!! 
Scott in Omaha
Searching for the right 70 Cuda driver
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24 mopars past and 2 present

Offline Falbz

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Re: 71 Cuda value Back on track....
« Reply #13 on: December 02, 2014 - 10:32:15 PM »

Offline Topcat

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Re: 71 Cuda value Back on track....
« Reply #14 on: December 02, 2014 - 11:08:45 PM »
Mike, Fremont, CA.